In Michigan, Quinnipiac University poll reveals that in a head-to-head matchup and a broader field, former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden as the general election kicks off.
The survey, released on Thursday, indicates that 48 percent of registered voters who participated support Trump in a one-on-one contest against Biden, who garners 45 percent of the backing.
📊 Michigan GE: @QuinnipiacPoll
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) March 14, 2024
🟥 Trump 48% (+3)
🟦 Biden 45%
—
🟥 Trump 41% (+5)
🟦 Biden 36%
🟨 RFK Jr 10%
🟩 Stein 4%
🟨 West 3%
—
538: #19 (2.8/3.0) | 3/8-12 | 1,487 RV https://t.co/24ANAqIvJN pic.twitter.com/xEu4MNGryW
In a hypothetical head-to-head contest between the presumed nominees, an additional two percent of respondents would abstain from voting, while three percent remain undecided.
Among independents, Trump leads Biden by a margin of 46 to 42 percent. Additionally, Trump holds the lead across all age groups except for voters aged 65 and older; among this demographic, 57 percent support Biden, while 38 percent favor Trump.
Among Michigan voters aged 18-34, Trump leads Biden by 48 to 43 percent, while in the 35-49 age group, he holds a significant advantage with 55 percent support compared to Biden’s 34 percent. In the 50-64 demographic, Trump leads by 11 points, with 54 percent support compared to Biden’s 43 percent.
When third-party candidates are included, Trump’s lead widens. He secures 41 percent of support in a five-way race, with Biden trailing at 36 percent. Independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. garners 10 percent, Green Party candidate Jill Stein earns four percent, and independent Cornel West receives three percent.
The Quinnipiac University poll surveyed 1,487 self-identified registered voters in Michigan from March 8-12, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
Trump’s lead in Michigan coincides with both him and Biden securing their respective party nominations in the delegate count. Recent polling also indicates Trump leading in other swing states. For example, two Fox News polls released on Wednesday evening show Trump ahead of Biden in head-to-head matchups in Arizona and Pennsylvania, although Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania falls within the margin of error. In Arizona, Trump maintains his advantage over Biden in a broader field, while they are tied in a five-way race in Pennsylvania.
