Recent polls suggest that former President Donald Trump is widening his lead over President Joe Biden nationally.
According to a Rasmussen Reports poll released on Tuesday, Trump holds a six-point lead over Biden in a head-to-head matchup, with 47% supporting Trump and 41% backing Biden. Nine percent of respondents favor “some other candidate,” while two percent are undecided. Notably, Trump enjoys a significant 16-point advantage among independents in this scenario.
When respondents were asked about their preferences in a presidential race including third-party candidates, Trump still maintains a lead with 43% support compared to Biden’s 37%. Twelve percent of respondents opt for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., five percent support “some other candidate,” and three percent remain undecided. Trump also maintains a ten-point lead among independents in this setup.
The survey, conducted from February 13-15, 2024, among 868 likely voters, carries a margin of error of ± three percent:
🇺🇲 2024 National GE: @Rasmussen_Poll
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 20, 2024
🟥 Trump 47% (+6)
🟦 Biden 41%
🟥 Trump 43% (+6)
🟦 Biden 37%
🟨 RFK Jr 12%
• 538 Rank: #89 (1.9/3.0) | 868 LV
• D36/R33/I31 | Feb. 13-15 | MoE: ±3%https://t.co/COIjH6o1ca pic.twitter.com/vkUuxqXXPm
In another survey conducted by HarrisX, Trump was found to be ahead of Biden by nine points nationally, with 47 percent of all voters supporting Trump compared to Biden’s 38 percent. Once more, Trump maintains a lead among independents, this time with a margin of ten points—40 percent for Trump and 30 percent for Biden. Thirty percent of respondents remain undecided:
🇺🇲 2024 National GE: @Harris_X_
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 20, 2024
🟥 Trump 47% (+9)
🟦 Biden 38%
—
President Biden
Approve: 39%
Disapprove: 56%
—
• 538 Rank: #214 (1.3/3.0)
• 3,024 RV | Feb. 12-16 | ±1.8% pic.twitter.com/lZ7hkda3Gt
The trend of Trump leading Biden is not limited to the national level, as recent polls in swing states also indicate Trump holding an edge over his potential Democratic challenger. For instance, a recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll reveals Trump leading Biden in all seven swing states surveyed, as reported by Breitbart News:
Here’s the rundown head-to-head:
Arizona: Trump 47 / Biden 44 — Trump +3
Georgia: Trump 49 / Biden 41 — Trump +8
Michigan: Trump 47 / Biden 42 — Trump +5
Nevada: Trump 48 / Biden 40 — Trump +8
North Carolina: Trump 49 / Biden 39 — Trump +10
Pennsylvania: Trump 48 / Biden 45 — Trump +3
Wisconsin: Trump 49 / Biden 44 — Trump +5Here’s the rundown with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on the ticket. The other independent and third-party candidates (Cornel West, Jill Stein) only earn a point or two:
Arizona: Trump 43 / Biden 35 / Kennedy 10 — Trump +8
Georgia: Trump 44 / Biden 37 / Kennedy 8 — Trump +7
Michigan: Trump 43 / Biden 37 / Kennedy 8 — Trump +6
Nevada: Trump 43 / Biden 31 / Kennedy 12 — Trump +12
North Carolina: Trump 45 / Biden 32 / Kennedy 9 — Trump +13
Pennsylvania: Trump 43 / Biden 40 / Kennedy 7 — Trump +3
Wisconsin: Trump 43 / Biden 35 / Kennedy 10 — Trump +8
Discussing the prospective showdown in December, Trump conveyed to Breitbart News that he views Biden as “dishonest,” “unscrupulous,” and “untrustworthy.”
“But in his life, he’s always been able to convince people he’s this really nice guy. I laugh when they say, ‘Trump is the evil one, and he’s the nice one.’ That’s the one thing he’s been able to do. All you have to do is look at his credentials. When you compare him today to 15 or 20 years ago, he’s a different kind of a guy. The guy can’t talk. The guy can’t put two sentences together,” he said.
