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The poll suggests that prosecuting Trump may have a reduced effect on his reelection prospects. “These are all Biden trials,” Trump stated before entering the courthouse on Tuesday. “This is carried out as election interference. Everyone is aware of it.”
The poll revealed a six-point shift within less than a year among Americans who believe the charges in the current trial “do not pertain to his qualification for the presidency even if proven true”:
- 2024: 45% considered the charges less relevant
- 2023: 39% considered the charges less relevant
The poll examined these findings:
About three-quarters of voters currently backing Trump against President Joe Biden in the 2024 election say they will stick with him even if he is convicted of a crime, while 24% of Trump’s backers say a conviction might cause them to reconsider their support. Trump is charged in four separate cases, and the survey question asked about being convicted of a crime without specifying a charge. The group that might reconsider amounts to about 12% of all registered voters in the poll, more than enough to make a difference in a close contest should he face conviction in any of the four trials he may face between now and Election Day.
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