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Nolte Analyzes Donald Trump’s Victory in New Hampshire, Overcoming Nikki Haley and an Interfering Democratic Party

January 24, 2024
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The attempt to downplay former President Trump’s victory in the New Hampshire Republican primary on Tuesday night is nothing more than spin; in all fairness, it was a significant triumph. First and foremost, the margin of victory was substantial, with Trump securing 55 percent of the vote compared to former Gov. Nikki Haley’s 43 percent, according to 94 percent of the vote tallied.

Additionally, the record-breaking turnout in New Hampshire on Tuesday cannot be ignored. The previous record for a Republican primary was set in 2016 with 287,000 votes, and in 2024, more than 300,000 individuals participated. Trump not only claimed victory with an impressive 170,454 raw votes (and counting), but he also surpassed his previous win in 2020 with 129,734 votes and his 2016 win with 100,735 votes. Notably, Trump’s achievement in winning both Iowa and New Hampshire with majority support makes him the first non-incumbent to accomplish this feat.

Despite significant interference from the Democratic party in New Hampshire’s open primary system, where crossover voting is permitted, Trump emerged victorious. Even with 70 percent of Nikki Haley’s voters not being registered Republicans, Trump secured a double-digit win. Unaffiliated voters, comprising nearly half of the electorate, favored Haley by 26 points, according to Fox News. Nevertheless, Trump won decisively due to his 46-point lead among registered Republicans.

Moreover, New Hampshire is not traditionally considered a stronghold for the MAGA movement, making Trump’s victory even more noteworthy. Despite being a state that typically favors Republicans with the last name Sununu, Trump demonstrated his broad appeal.

Certain media outlets may attempt to spin this triumph as a sign of weakness for Trump, but it’s crucial to acknowledge the unique dynamics of non-incumbent candidates in primary elections. Trump’s challengers view him differently from an incumbent, and the national GOP has allowed competition within the party. If Trump were treated as an incumbent, the challenges from Haley, DeSantis, Scott, and others would likely not have occurred.

In conclusion, Trump’s victory in New Hampshire, breaking records and overcoming Democratic interference, is a clear indication of his continued political prowess. The competition from Haley, far from being a detriment, may only serve to sharpen Trump and his team in preparation for future challenges.

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