Recent polling in Arizona indicates significant progress for Donald Trump among a traditionally Democratic demographic, giving him one of his strongest leads in any battleground state.
The Suffolk University/USA Today survey conducted from September 21 to 24 shows the Republican candidate ahead by 6 points against Kamala Harris.
Black voters are playing a key role in this lead, with 29% supporting Trump compared to Harris’s 67%. If this support materializes, it aligns with the Trump campaign’s objective to mobilize black male voters. A prior USA Today poll in Michigan also suggested a trend, with 19% of African-American voters there indicating they would vote for Trump.
This poll is particularly relevant as Harris visits Douglas, Arizona, for the first time to address border issues—her first appearance as “border czar” since taking office. However, it raises the question: is it too late for her to sway voters?
Trump is also gaining traction among female voters, receiving 44% support, trailing Harris’s 49%, while 6% remain undecided. Conversely, Harris struggles with male voters, as Trump leads 54% to 37%, with 7% undecided and 2% favoring lesser-known candidates. Harris’s overall approval in Arizona stands at 39%, with a disapproval rating of 55%, particularly among men (34% approval) and independents (35% approval). In contrast, Trump enjoys a 52% approval rating, notably higher among seniors, where 61% express satisfaction with his presidency.
A second poll from Fox News, conducted from September 20 to 24, further confirms Trump’s favorable position against Harris, showing him at 50% compared to her 47%. The Fox poll also underscores challenges for Harris, revealing that 56% of voters believe Trump is better equipped to handle illegal immigration, granting him a 15-point advantage on that issue.
