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Nolte: Donald Trump’s Poll Numbers Outperform Any GOP Presidential Candidate in Two Decades

January 29, 2024
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As of Monday, former President Donald Trump’s polling numbers are surpassing his previous records, particularly in comparison to President Biden and his Republican contender for the primary, former Gov. Nikki Haley.

In the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average of national polls, Trump holds a remarkable lead of 4.3 points over Biden. This marks Trump’s largest lead to date and stands out in recent political history.

In fact, Trump’s current polling performance exceeds that of any Republican candidate against a Democrat since 2004 when George W. Bush held a 6.4-point lead over John Kerry.

Comparatively, in subsequent elections, Republican nominees struggled to gain significant leads. McCain in 2008 and Romney in 2012 faced fleeting leads, while Trump’s narrow margins against Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Biden in 2020 reflected a different landscape.

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Trump’s resurgence in popularity is evident not only nationally but also in swing states. Polls indicate his leads in key battlegrounds like Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, and Georgia, states he narrowly lost in the previous election.

This shift in public sentiment suggests a broader appeal for Trump’s candidacy, indicating a preference for his leadership over Biden’s administration. The polling also highlights Trump’s enduring popularity within the Republican Party, overshadowing other potential contenders like Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley.

In summary, the polling data underscores a significant desire among the electorate for Trump’s return to the White House.


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